Bookmarks (516)

Ate-a-Pi has a weird claim that Mark Zuckerberg does not believe in AI compute scaling delivering better performance. There is also a claim about energy constraints for data centers and AI chips maximizing on performance per watt. Zuckerberg says that the exponential curves are still scaling. He says no ones how long that scaling continues. ... Read more

Future versions of Tesla FSD will likely merge with XAI Grok. While Elon Musk has expressed concerns about building too much of his new AI ideas into Tesla unless he has 25% voting control, the need to make a competitive AI will force Tesla FSD to work with XAI Grok. This can be structured in ... Read more

The Princeton Physics Lab has built a Stellarator nuclear fusion reactor prototype using permanent magnets. This is a scientific first that enables mostly off the shelf magnet for simple and low cost experiments to test new concepts for future fusion power plants. It does not generate net energy, but it has some nuclear processes and ... Read more

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says some suffering is good so people learn resilience. Resilience is the key for long term success. Do you agree with Jensen? There are of course alternative views like things implied by the fictional character Yoda.

Grok-1.5V is competitive with existing frontier multimodal models in a number of domains, ranging from multi-disciplinary reasoning to understanding documents, science diagrams, charts, screenshots, and photographs. Grok has capabilities in understanding our physical world. Grok outperforms its peers in our new RealWorldQA benchmark that measures real-world spatial understanding. For all datasets below, they evaluate Grok ... Read more

Elon Musk reasserts that Tesla FSD 12.4 will be another big improvement and will be released soon. Tesla FSD 12.4 will have the driving data learned from another billion miles of driving from the one month free trial for 2 million users. The new driving data will be from many new drivers who were inexperienced ... Read more

Dr. Charles Buhler and Exodus Technologies claims that systems with electrostatic pressure differences or electrostatic divergent fields gives systems with a center of mass with non-zero force component (aka generate movement). Buhler is NASA’s subject matter expert on electrostatics. They want to move to demo the system in orbit. These kinds of claims are controversial ... Read more

I talked with Herbert Ong about Tesla compute and how I believed Tesla had 100,000 H100 ordered. I only wondered if they were installed and operating. I also told Herbert that I expected large Nvidia B200 orders by Tesla and XAI so that they each add another 800 Exaflops of compute by the end of ... Read more

I have used the new open source Meta Llama3 AI model. It can generate images and you can edit the images by asking for changes to previously generated images. The system is faster and easier to use than many of the other image generators. It is pretty good at math and coding. It was able ... Read more

Tesla has made rapid progress with the full self driving system after they completed version 12 of the AI. They have replaced the coded rules for a complete system of neural networks to control perception, navigation and planning. Tesla has announced that they will unveil the robotaxi on August 8, 2024. However, it is now ... Read more

Israeli drones have hit western Iran. Explosions were heard in the city of Isfahan prompting commercial flights to divert from their routes. Explosions were heard near the Iranian city of Isfahan early Friday as Israel reportedly launched a heavily anticipated reprisal strike for an Iranian attack on Israel days earlier, defying international pressure to stand ... Read more

Youtuber, Internet of bugs, broke down the Devin Upwork video frame by frame. He shows what Devin was supposed to do, what it actually managed to do instead, and how bad a job of that it did. Devin was not given the right instructions by the Cognition Employee. It was supposed to write instructions for ... Read more

DARPA’s Air Combat Evolution (ACE) program had the first-ever in-air tests of AI algorithms autonomously flying a fighter jet against a human-piloted fighter jet in within-visual-range combat scenarios (aka dogfighting). The General Dynamics X-62 VISTA (“Variable Stability In-flight Simulator Test Aircraft”) is an experimental aircraft, derived from the F-16D Fighting Falcon, which was modified as ... Read more

Llama 3 is Meta’s latest generation of models that has state-of-the art performance and efficiency for openly available LLMs. Meta AI is available online for free. The small 7B model beats Mistral 7B and Gemma 7B. The 70B beats Claude 3 Sonnet (closed source Anthropic model) and competes against Gemini Pro 1.5 (closed source model ... Read more

SpaceX and Elon Musk are choosing to go to the moon. The moon orbiting and moon landing missions should be within this decade and they will make a permanently manned moonbase as well. In the video, I describe the multiple moon related missions that SpaceX has and how easy it would be for SpaceX to ... Read more

Today, Intel has built the world’s largest neuromorphic system. It is code-named Hala Point, this large-scale neuromorphic system, initially deployed at Sandia National Laboratories, utilizes Intel’s Loihi 2 processor. It is aimed at supporting research for future brain-inspired artificial intelligence (AI), and tackles challenges related to the efficiency and sustainability of today’s AI. Hala Point ... Read more

Reka Core is a new LLM that is competitive with OpenAI GPT4 and Anthropic Claude 3. Reka Core can identify an African Elephant from a picture by looking at its ears. It was a model created by a team of twenty people. Reka, a California-based AI startup, appears to be ready to go head-to-head with ... Read more

Boston Dynamics has released a video unveiling their next generation humanoid robot. It is a fully electric Atlas robot designed for real-world applications. Atlas demonstrates efforts to develop the next generation of robots with the mobility, perception, and intelligence needed to be commonplace in our lives. The electric Atlas has been developed with advanced control ... Read more

Las Vegas, United States, April 17th, 2024, CyberNewsWire Zero Knowledge Networking vendor shrugs off firewall flaw In the wake of the recent disclosure of a critical vulnerability (CVE-2024-3400) affecting a leading firewall solution, Xiid Corporation reminds organizations that Xiid SealedTunnel customers remain secure. This latest vulnerability, currently unpatched and rated 10/10 on the CVSS (Common ... Read more

There are exclusive articles for paid subscribers on the Nextbigfuture Substack. The history of human colonization tells us what is needed for a future sustainable human interstellar colonization. What is needed for Artificial Superintelligence. Here is an overview of what is needed for AGI and ASI level AI. I will briefly review some key concepts ... Read more

I did a video with Brighter with Herbert, Herbert Ong. I explained why the chart from last year showing Tesla going to 100 Exaflops of compute in October 2024 is out of date. Elon Musk said that both XAI and Tesla had over 30,000 H100 chip equivalents. Nvidia H100 chips each have petaflops of compute. ... Read more

The various Claude 3 models are ranking very closely to the OpenAI GPT 4 AI models. Claude is able to understand images. I uploaded the picture of a SpaceX Starship refueling in space. Claude Sonnet described its understanding as follows. The image depicts two futuristic-looking spacecraft or rockets in space, seemingly in orbit around the ... Read more

Elon discussed SpaceX plans to send a fleet of 1000-1200 Starships every two years to Mars. SpaceX Mars fleet operations would have huge challenges. The plan is to launch 1.5 million tons to orbit every two years. They would then send 250,000 tons to Mars. If every Mars-bound SpaceX Starship can take 250 tons of ... Read more

Washington DC, United States, April 16th, 2024, CyberNewsWire In a digital age where information is the new currency, the recent global hack has once again highlighted the urgent need for enhanced cybersecurity measures. The breach was identified as Midnight Blizzard, from the Russian state-sponsored actor known as NOBELIUM. It has affected Millions of individuals and ... Read more

First Light Fusion is developing an inertial fusion with a pulsed process. They fire physical projectiles at high speeds like 40 kilometers per second to generate fusion OR they may use high-power lasers to generate the fusion. They are working on methods with the targets and other systems to amplify the pressures generated and increase ... Read more

Tesla is unveiling the Robotax on August 8, 2024 there is an ongoing ramp of the FSD (full self driving) software. What do we no know and not know about this rapidly changing situation? This is all happening as Tesla’s sales growth is “between two growth waves”. Tesla has cut over 10% of its staff ... Read more

The direct Iranian missile attack did not do direct damage to Israel. However, it has opened the door to direct military action between Iran and Israel. Iran and Israel are 620 miles apart. Iran is almost 2.4 times the land area of Texas. It is slightly larger than the state of Alaska. Iran’s dimensions are ... Read more

Elon Musk sent out a memo to all Tesla staff last night. Over the years, we have grown rapidly with multiple factories scaling around the globe. With this rapid growth there has been duplication of roles and job functions in certain areas. As we prepare the company for our next phase of growth, it is ... Read more

Would everyone switch to electric cars if good cars with good range could be made for much less than $10,000? What technology could enable those prices?

RocketStar has announced the first successful demonstration of their nuclear fusion-enhanced pulsed plasma FireStar™ Drive. They have enhanced electric drive space propulsion. Electric propulsion drives create small amounts of thrust but are significantly more fuel-efficient than conventional chemical rockets. Electric propulsion are ion and hall effect drives. They are like the tortoise to the chemical ... Read more

Microsoft is doing very well by buying OpenAI. OpenAI is making money now. AI Models are becoming commoditized. In the long run, there seems to be a race to the bottom on pricing. Open Source AI models like Meta could be used to become the Platform. All of the development happens on your platform. If ... Read more

There is radar tracking all of the airplane, drone and missile activity over the middle east. This is related to airplanes, drones and missiles from Iran to Israel. There is also US and Israel military plane activity.

Iran claims to have launched a wave of missiles against Israel and the above is a photo taken which shows a missile flying over Iraq to Israel. There are reports on Telegram and X of a plan by Iran’s QUD (foreign militia’s in Syria, Lebanon – Hezbollah) and Iraq to attack in waves.

Nextbigfuture has launched a new substack. [https://nextbigfuture.substack.com/] There is absolutely no ads on nextbigfuture substack. There is unique longer articles that are exclusive to nextbigfuture substack subscribers. The regular nextbigfuture.com site will continue. There is also the nextbigfuture youtube channel. I thank all of my readers and supporters who will get information from this regular ... Read more

Grok-1.5V is XAI’s first-generation multimodal model. In addition to its strong text capabilities, Grok can now process a wide variety of visual information, including documents, diagrams, charts, screenshots, and photographs. Grok-1.5V will be available soon to our early testers and existing Grok users. Capabilities Grok-1.5V is competitive with existing frontier multimodal models in a number ... Read more

Iran has launched about ten or so hundreds of drones over Iraq towards Israel. They are drones with small propeller planes. There are now more missiles. These will likely get shotdown by Israel. However, is this the start something? It is weird and there is a lot of uncertainty. This is not an actual effective ... Read more

Tesla has has officially lowered the monthly FSD subscription price to $99/month (from $199/month). This means it would be $1200 per year. If 50% adopt then that would be the $600 per car or an increase of 7.5% in profits. This should massively increase adoption which increases the amount of data training and rate of ... Read more

Tesla FSD is rapidly improving and seems to be creating level 4 self driving before our eyes. It is something that is difficult for many to believe and accept. AI systems have a history of not working for a long time and then having improvement that seems sudden to human observers. Once an AI gets ... Read more

Sanctuary AI, a company on a mission to create the world’s first human-like intelligence in general purpose robots, has announced a strategic partnership with global mobility technology company Magna. Sanctuary’s CTO Suzanne Gildert explained their mind and hands first approach. Sanctuary AI views humanoid robots as a means to an end, where the end is ... Read more

There are about six major capabilities that Tesla still needs to add to FSD based upon capability checklists. Most of the capabilities will need refinement so that they are performed well every time. The six capabilities are recognize hand signals, drive in reverse, avoid pot holes and low road obstacles, don’t drive in the blind ... Read more

The Unitree H1 Humanoid robot can outrun a human being. In this video we review the Unitree H1 robot and other humanoid robots and briefly consider the expected impacts on our world.

Tel Aviv, Israel, April 10th, 2024, CyberNewsWire Cyber GRC software company Cypago has announced a new automation solution for artificial intelligence (AI) governance, risk management and compliance. This includes implementation of NIST AI RMF and ISO/IEC 42001, the newest AI security and governance frameworks. With more and more companies integrating new AI tools into their ... Read more

Brad Gerstner at Altimeter Capital describes how the large language models (LLM) like ChatGPT could replace Google Internet Search. The cost per llm query is about 10 to 100 times more than the internet search. However, by consistently getting the cost for LLM query down to 1 to 2 cents then those queries would be ... Read more

Jensen Huang described how the $1 trillion in current data centers will see another $2 trillion of AI accelerated data centers added over the next few years. Brad Gerstner, Altimeter Capital, describes the impact of adding those AI data centers on energy and computer chips.

The number of Nvidia H100 and other Nvidia chips that an AI company represents the AI compute resources of that company. Elon indicated that a recent chart showing Meta leading on the GPU count and Tesla trailing at 10,000 G100 GPUs. Microsoft and OpenAI would also have higher GPU counts. It is unclear why Microsoft ... Read more

There are many who believe that years of failure or limited success for Tesla FSD and other robotaxi projects are evidence for their belief that it will take more years from today for Tesla FSD to achieve robotaxi level. Chess Computer Programs Chess programs were under serious development for decades before they finally succeeded in ... Read more

Devin is an AI that was used on the SWE-bench, a challenging benchmark that asks agents to resolve real-world GitHub issues found in open source projects like Django and scikit-learn. Devin correctly resolves 13.86% of the issues end-to-end, far exceeding the previous state-of-the-art of 1.96%. Even when given the exact files to edit, the best ... Read more

The SpaceX Raptor engines are becoming far more powerful and should reach over 330 tons of force while not needing a heat shield. Removing the need for a heat shield will lower the overall mass and increase the thrust to weight ratio.

The Lunar Starship will have landing legs, but no heat shield and no flaps. There is no The Lunar Starships would only dock with tankers and would not land back on Earth. SpaceX will build a permanently manned moonbase.

One of the Korean researchers working on room temperature superconductors shows a sample with some possible magnetic locking effects. The phenomenon occurred when he found and cut out a part of the sample that was felt to have strong diamagnetism. He does not know if the effect can be explained by Lenz’s law. He thinks ... Read more