Bookmarks (11) clear filters

Canada’s National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI), a scientific advisory group to the government, has made a forceful and dramatic statement strongly favoring First Doses First (delay the second dose.) This is a very big deal for the entire world. Basically NACI have endorsed everything that Tyler and I have said on First Doses First […] The post Canada: An Official Strong Recommendation for...

Here is my 2x normal length Bloomberg column on that topic, as had been requested by Daniel Klein.  The argument has numerous twists and turns, do read the whole thing but here is one bit (I will indent only their words): “Here are the key words of the Great Barrington Declaration on herd immunity: The […] The post Why I reject the Great Barrington...

An Australian mining firm wants to turn a Nevada valley into a quarry for lithium and boron – key elements for green technologies – but a rare plant may stand in its way. Researchers say that biodiversity and clean energy should not be in opposition. The company, Ioneer, says the quarry in Rhyolite Ridge valley […] The post Green vs. green: whose side are...

Every day I read maybe twenty or more tweets decrying Trump’s acceleration of the FDA vaccine approval process.  And yet I do not see a single blog post with back of the envelope calculations.  This is such an important decision, and it deserves better, just as we analyze the Fed’s monetary policy decisions in great […] The post Show your work, people — advice...

Finally a rainfall paper that perhaps you can believe in!?: We test whether earlier social distancing affects the progression of a local COVID-19 out-break. We exploit county-level rainfall on the last weekend before statewide lockdown. After controlling for state fixed-effects, temperature, and historical rainfall, current rainfall is a plausibly exogenous instrument for social distancing. Early […] The post Early distancing can be very potent...

1. Segregating old people, and letting others go about their regular business.  Given how many older people now work (and vote), and how many employees in nursing homes are young, I’ve yet to see a good version of this plan, but if you favor it please do try to write one up.  One of you […] The post The three ideas you all are...

And, despite not knowing what threat the SETREP-ID would be enacted for, the group had pre-emptive ethical clearance to immediately gather samples from patients – something which would take weeks or months in other countries. It is believed that this has saved thousands of lives, here is the full story, via Rohan Claffy. The post The coronavirus polity that is Australia appeared first on...

Nicholas Whitaker of Brown, general career development grant in the area of Progress Studies. Coleman Hughes, travel and career development grant. Michael T. Foster, career development grant to study machine learning to predict which politicians will succeed and advance their careers. Evan Horowitz, to start the Center for State Policy Analysis at Tufts, to impose […] The post Emergent Ventures winners, seventh cohort appeared...

We have the transcript live on our Day One Project site: https://www.dayoneproject.org/cowen-kalil-transcript Here was the video version, with some sound imperfections.  And from Schmidt Futures: …some context on the broader event is here, along with details on our open call for innovation, science, and tech policy ideas to inform the priorities of the next presidential term […] The post Transcript of my chat with Thomas...

That is a theme running throughout my latest Bloomberg column, here are some excerpts: Why so many of America’s best and brightest college graduates go into management consulting, finance or law school is a perennial question. There are some compelling theories, which I will get to, but first I would like to turn the question around: […] The post Toward a more general theory of...

Two pig farmers in Western Australia will be jailed after being convicted of illegally importing Danish pig semen concealed in shampoo bottles. Torben Soerensen has been sentenced to three years in prison, while Henning Laue faces a two-year sentence after pleading guilty to breaching quarantine and biosecurity laws. The Perth district court was told boar semen had […] The post Pig semen nationalism protectionism appeared first...