~marginalrevolution | Bookmarks (562)

A portrait of Portugal - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

…at least half of a population of ten million depend on the state in some way—35% are...
…at least half of a population of ten million depend on the state in some way—35% are retirees, 10% government workers, and another 5% receive either unemployment benefits or integration benefits. They would see a country with less youth than they once saw; they would see what is in fact, after Italy, the second-oldest country in […] The post A portrait of Portugal appeared first...

current affairs uncategorized
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Monday assorted links - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

1. Should we change species to save them? (NYT) 2. Mechanical watch. 3. Why is it...
1. Should we change species to save them? (NYT) 2. Mechanical watch. 3. Why is it called Martingale? And “With French under fire, Mali uses AI to bring local language to students.” 4. McDonald’s new marketing: Billboards that smell like its French fries. 5. Erwin Dekker on the history of economic thought. 6. Strawberries and the […] The post Monday assorted links appeared first on...

uncategorized
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The Adderall Shortage: DEA versus FDA in a Regulatory War - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

A record number of drugs are in shortage across the United States. In any particular case,...
A record number of drugs are in shortage across the United States. In any particular case, it’s difficult to trace out the exact causes of the shortage but health care is the US’s most highly regulated, socialist industry and shortages are endemic under socialism so the pattern fits. The shortage of Adderall and other ADHD […] The post The Adderall Shortage: DEA versus FDA...

law medicine
1
Michael Cook on Iran - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

Our primary concern in this chapter will be Iran, though toward the end we will shift...
Our primary concern in this chapter will be Iran, though toward the end we will shift the focus to Central Asia. We can best begin with a first-order approximation of the pattern of Iranian history across the whole period. It has four major features. The first is the survival of something called Iran, as both […] The post Michael Cook on Iran appeared first...

books history religion uncategorized
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GPT-4-Turbo still doesn't answer this question well - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

“Name three famous people who all share the exact same birth date and year.” Usually it...
“Name three famous people who all share the exact same birth date and year.” Usually it fails, the most common failure being it names someone with the correct date but the incorrect year. Telling it to “reason step by step” is no panacea either. And if you want to make it harder, ask for more […] The post GPT-4-Turbo still doesn’t answer this question...

uncategorized web/tech
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Sunday assorted links - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

1. Austrian economist Walter Block is now a columnist for Israel Hayom. 2. Progress against dengue....
1. Austrian economist Walter Block is now a columnist for Israel Hayom. 2. Progress against dengue. 3. Faith Ringgold, RIP (NYT). 4. The world of competitive quizzing (NYT). Good piece. 5. Post-fight interview, with profanity, and Mises. 6. U.S. homicide rates are plummeting (WSJ). The post Sunday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Comments1. Is Walter still defending the undefendable here? by...

uncategorized
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The Culture that is Germany - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

FT: When it launched its fully automated stores four years ago, Germany’s regional supermarket chain Tegut...
FT: When it launched its fully automated stores four years ago, Germany’s regional supermarket chain Tegut billed the experiment as a window into the future of shopping. But the Fulda-based retailer has since been embroiled in a legal fight over a centuries-old principle enshrined in the German constitution: Sunday rest. Be they robotic or staffed […] The post The Culture that is Germany appeared...

current affairs economics
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*The Carnation Revolution* - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

The author is Alex Fernandes, and the subtitle is The Day Portugal’s Dictatorship Fell. A very...
The author is Alex Fernandes, and the subtitle is The Day Portugal’s Dictatorship Fell. A very good and well-written book, here is one short excerpt: The First Republic is sixteen years of unrelenting chaos, one that sets the scene for the fascist state that follows it. Between 1910 and 1926 Portugal goes through eight presidents […] The post *The Carnation Revolution* appeared first on...

books history political science uncategorized
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Samuelson-Stolper, writ anew - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

At Sansan Chicken in Long Island City, Queens, the cashier beamed a wide smile and recommended...
At Sansan Chicken in Long Island City, Queens, the cashier beamed a wide smile and recommended the fried chicken sandwich. Or maybe she suggested the tonkatsu — it was hard to tell, because the internet connection from her home in the Philippines was spotty. Romy, who declined to give her last name, is one of […] The post Samuelson-Stolper, writ anew appeared first on...

food and drink uncategorized
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Iranian drone launch - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

current affairs
1
Saturday assorted links - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

1. Sorry people, but I’m not convinced by the whole anti-cavities thing. Stuart Richie also comments....
1. Sorry people, but I’m not convinced by the whole anti-cavities thing. Stuart Richie also comments. 2. Thirty minute talk by the great Gašper Beguš. You need to remove timing between the clicks! 3. A recent paper on AI and labor markets. I don’t quite follow the central intuitions, but possibly important? 4. Ukraine report. […] The post Saturday assorted links appeared first on...

uncategorized
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Voxsplainer on smart phones and teen mental health - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

A very good piece, by Eric Levitz, note Vox is not renowned for defending Big Tech....
A very good piece, by Eric Levitz, note Vox is not renowned for defending Big Tech. The post Voxsplainer on smart phones and teen mental health appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsIn reply to M. It was obvious in the late 2000s when Facebook ... by BillyboyIn reply to Michael Stack. So…uh…what's up with the ... by Michael StackIn reply to Billyboy. Either...

web/tech
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Should I trust this paper? - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

We examine the relation between earnings information content and the use of trust words, such as...
We examine the relation between earnings information content and the use of trust words, such as “character,” “ethics,” and “honest,” in the MD&A section of 10-K. We find that earnings announcements of firms using trust words have lower information content than earnings announcements of firms that do not use trust words. We also find that […] The post Should I trust this paper? appeared...

uncategorized
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Fair coins aren't fair - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

Many people have flipped coins but few have stopped to ponder the statistical and physical intricacies...
Many people have flipped coins but few have stopped to ponder the statistical and physical intricacies of the process. In a preregistered study we collected 350,757 coin flips to test the counterintuitive prediction from a physics model of human coin tossing developed by Diaconis, Holmes, and Montgomery (D-H-M; 2007). The model asserts that when people […] The post Fair coins aren’t fair appeared first...

data source
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It's happening, anachronistic imaginary movie preview edition - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

https://www.youtube.com/@abandonedfilms For a sampler, try The Hobbit: Via the apparently excellent Bruce Cleaver. The post It’s...
https://www.youtube.com/@abandonedfilms For a sampler, try The Hobbit: Via the apparently excellent Bruce Cleaver. The post It’s happening, anachronistic imaginary movie preview edition appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsIn reply to rsm. Good point. by EdRTechnically, very impressive. Artistically, physics are ... by aaronIn reply to rsm. Because its inflationary. See Covid bucks ... by HarunIn reply to Awake. But at what cost.. It...

film
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Friday assorted links - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

1. “The largest office building in St. Louis has sold for $3.5 million, per WSJ. In...
1. “The largest office building in St. Louis has sold for $3.5 million, per WSJ. In 2006, it sold for $205 million.” 2. Robin Hanson on the world’s monoculture mistake. 3. An AI system to match silver medalists in geometry? 4. Generative AI can turn your most precious memories into photos that never existed. 5. […] The post Friday assorted links appeared first on...

uncategorized
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Pay For Performance Increases Performance (Water Runs Downhill) - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

In my 2011 book, Launching the Innovation Renaissance, I wrote: At times, teacher pay in the...
In my 2011 book, Launching the Innovation Renaissance, I wrote: At times, teacher pay in the United States seems more like something from Soviet-era Russia than 21st-century America. Wages for teachers are low, egalitarian and not based on performance. We pay physical education teachers about the same as math teachers despite the fact that math […] The post Pay For Performance Increases Performance (Water...

economics education
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*Civil War* - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

This movie was more cinematically serious than I was expecting, and with some odd (but mostly...
This movie was more cinematically serious than I was expecting, and with some odd (but mostly good) 1970s vibes. It is also an interesting case study in anhedonia. Video and grenades seem scarcer than they ought to be, even given the constraints. Good characters. The movie works very hard not to reveal its politics to […] The post *Civil War* appeared first on Marginal...

film uncategorized
1
History of economic thought paper ideas - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

These topics seem underexplored to me: Montesquieu Economics in the Talmud Rise of econometrics in the...
These topics seem underexplored to me: Montesquieu Economics in the Talmud Rise of econometrics in the 19th century The Irish economists, including Cairnes and Longfield The last 50 years of economics are in general very poorly covered Works in any foreign language you might read Chinese economic thought Economic thought in India The funding of […] The post History of economic thought paper ideas...

economics history
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Thursday assorted links - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

1. Some progress on the Moderna cancer vaccine. 2. The culture that is New Zealand (excruciating,...
1. Some progress on the Moderna cancer vaccine. 2. The culture that is New Zealand (excruciating, not recommended). 3. My podcast with Sean Speer and The Hub on GOAT. 4. Edward S.F. suggests: K. Omodo reviews G O A T: “It was amazing. I took it in all at once!” Here is the short video. […] The post Thursday assorted links appeared first on...

uncategorized
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Scrabble markets in everything, okie-dokie edition - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

For the first time in 75 years, Mattel is making a major change to the iconic...
For the first time in 75 years, Mattel is making a major change to the iconic board game Scrabble — and touting a “No More Scoring” gameplay option. The new launch is a double-sided version of the famous board game — one side with the original game for those who want to stick to the […] The post Scrabble markets in everything, okie-dokie edition...

games uncategorized
1
UNOS Kills - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

I’ve long been an advocate of increasing the use of incentives in organ procurement for transplant;...
I’ve long been an advocate of increasing the use of incentives in organ procurement for transplant; either with financial incentives or with rules such as no-give, no-take which prioritize former potential organ donors on the organ recipient list. What I and many reformers failed to realize, however, is that the current monopolized system is so […] The post UNOS Kills appeared first on Marginal...

economics law medicine
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TimeGPT-1 - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

In this paper, we introduce TimeGPT, the first foundation model for time series, capable of generating...
In this paper, we introduce TimeGPT, the first foundation model for time series, capable of generating accurate predictions for diverse datasets not seen during training. We evaluate our pre-trained model against established statistical, machine learning, and deep learning methods, demonstrating that TimeGPT zero-shot inference excels in performance, efficiency, and simplicity. Our study provides compelling evidence […] The post TimeGPT-1 appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION....

economics web/tech
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Udio - Marginal REVOLUTION

marginalrevolution.com

Introducing Udio, an app for music creation and sharing that allows you to generate amazing music...
Introducing Udio, an app for music creation and sharing that allows you to generate amazing music in your favorite styles with intuitive and powerful text-prompting. 1/11 pic.twitter.com/al5uYAsU5k — udio (@udiomusic) April 10, 2024 The post Udio appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsIn reply to Not Woke. Are we prepared for a world where the ... by KSIn reply to KS. I'd go even...

music
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