Last week, I was skiing with my family.
The chairlift is often where I do my best thinking. As I was heading up the mountain, this thought popped into my head:
The founders of MailChimp waited six years before going full-time on their SaaS. In the meantime, they were consulting, allowing app revenue to grow on the side.
I realized this was true for other bootstrappers I admired too: Todoist, Wildbit, Basecamp.
Instead of heaping expectations on our new startups, what if we just give them time to grow? Instead of hustling for immediate growth, should we focus on slow, steady gains?
When I got back to our hotel for lunch, I tweeted:
That tweet exploded. It struck a nerve. People began to reply with their personal startup stories.
Jeff Bargmann shared his experience:
"It took six years to move Fences from pet project to general availability. And then six years of hacking on back-burner to find profitability. Twelve years in all, 2/3 of which was patience."
Jonnie Hallman said his app for freelancers is just now at a point where they’re finding their footing:
"Approaching year 5 with Cushion and I have a feeling this is our year."
Rob Belcher mentioned that his finance firm had done a study on the topic:
Our data from a survey of ~950 B2B SaaS companies showed that the median time to $1M ARR is six years.
These responses got me thinking about Transistor, the podcasting platform I co-founded with Jon Buda. We launched four months ago, and just passed $4,000 in MRR:
It's been exciting to build and grow our app on the side. But it's also been hard. With hundreds of paying customers, we're dedicating more of our time to serving them. But, the business isn't earning enough to pay us for our time.
So, as 2018 is winding down, I've been exploring my options:
1. Work on Transistor on the side, but get a job/consulting so I can pay my bills consistently.
In the past, I've done product marketing for other tech companies, and made a good living at it. Maybe, having a few consulting clients is the best fit for me right now. Jon could keep his day-job, and I'd have a more reliable income stream.
This "slow and steady gains over time" approach also feels calming. It removes a lot of pressure for us to "grow fast so we can pay ourselves right away."
2. Take investment so we can go full-time sooner.
A $200,000 investment would give us about a year's worth of runway, which could be enough time for us to reach $20,000 per month in revenue.
3. Keep things the way they are.
Or, we could keep our current path. There's a lot of tension, but maybe we can sprint hard, and acquire enough customers to go full-time sooner?
These are the questions that have been circulating in my head over the past few months.
Which is why when Jason Cohen, founder of WPengine and someone I respect, replied to my tweet, I took note:
It’s difficult to find successful companies where founders didn’t work 80+ hours and took longer than four years to get to $1M ARR. If you're two years in and you still need a day job then by definition it doesn’t have good fundamentals. I usually think of "$10k/month/founder" as a rough measure of whether you're ready for full-time. Saying that should take three years is wrong. It's hard to find that companies that live and took that long.
Initially, this was difficult to read. It seemed to contradict my earlier theory that "startups that grow slowly on the side do just fine." Also, it made me question the traction we'd achieved so far with Transistor. Were our fundamentals strong enough to keep going?
One of the first people I reached out to was DHH. His journey with Basecamp has always been something that inspired me. I met him in Chicago years ago, and occasionally ask him for advice.
He wrote me a really thoughtful response. I won't share the whole thing here, but here are a few highlights:
- In the first two years of Basecamp's development, he worked on it 10 hours per week.
- Basecamp took close to two years before it could support their team of four full-time.
- Not all companies that follow Basecamp's path achieve the same level of success. But, many of these small companies are making significant income for their founders.
When David looked at Transistor's numbers, he said:
"If you're at $4K MRR, it feels like there's something there. But if you don't have any meaningful growth behind it, it won't work. Don't forget that virtually all companies fail in the grand scheme."
I don't think you can launch something and then just let it sit. But if you can spend 10-15 hours per week on something, that's a meaningful investment of time. It can absolutely change the trajectory of the business.
Who's right? Cohen or DHH?
Here we have two tech titans, with differing points of view.
- Jason Cohen founded WPengine, which had over $100 million in annual recurring revenue last year. They have over 75,000 customers.
- DHH co-founded Basecamp, which has grown to over 2,838,000 users since 2004.
But who's right?
To start, I think everyone agrees on a few things:
- Your definition of success will depend on your personal values. What do you want, ultimately, from your startup? Are you trying to build a billion dollar company, or run a small business that supports a few founders?
- There's no sense in working on a SaaS that isn't going to give you what you want. Lots of founders are working on ideas that are never going to work. You should have a reasonable amount of traction: inbound traffic, increasing MRR, and low churn.
- You don't have an infinite runway. Most businesses fail. If you can't make it work, it's better to quit and move on to something else.
The main point of contention between DHH and Cohen seems to be how many hours of work a week are required to build a company.
- DHH thinks 10-15 hours a week is plenty of time to get an idea off the ground (at least for the first few years).
- Jason Cohen thinks it takes a more significant weekly time investment (much more time than a regular job).
It's possible that their debate is just a matter of founder preference; and what type of company each wants to build.
Jason Cohen builds businesses in an intentional way. He vets his ideas systematically. He wanted to create something big. WPengine has hundreds of employees, multiple offices, and $290.7 million in funding.
DHH and Jason Fried have built Basecamp purposefully as well. They've deliberately kept their team small. They're trying to be a calm company.
Applying this to our startup
So, what does this mean for me, and growing Transistor?
My first step was to get a few experienced founders to look at our numbers. (They're currently on Baremetrics here).
Josh Pigford, of Baremetrics, said:
"So far, these are looking pretty good. You're not doing crazy growth numbers or anything, but the fundamentals look good. You're growing MRR every month, and don't have a lot churn. Keep growing this and see where it goes."
Nathan Barry, of ConvertKit, agreed, saying:
"You just need to give it more time and focused work. Transistor has solid numbers."
Getting our numbers checked was a reassuring step. Knowing that we're on a reasonable trajectory, at least so far, gives me the confidence to keep going.
However, the biggest lesson from this experience came from a mentor (who wished to be anonymous). He said:
In entrepreneurship, there is very seldom a single truth. A single right answer. If anything, seek your truth in a given situation. Think to yourself: "if I look back on this decision in 5 years, did I do the right thing based on the information I had at the time?"
Other founders can offer advice, but only we can decide what's right for us, and our company.
I'm not DHH or Jason Cohen. I'm Justin Jackson.
Transistor's had a good start. It's showing potential. Next, Jon and I need to figure out a runway (and a growth pace) that works for us. We want to be serving our customers for a long time; there's no sense in burning out now!
Your startup is your company. You get to decide what its purpose will be, and how you're going to get there. If the fundamentals are there, do it your way.
Published on December 9th, 2018