On Saturday, February 22, Nevada caucusgoers will decide the third primary contest of the 2020 election. Results are now starting to come in from Nevada's 1,988 precinct caucuses, which officially kicked off at noon P.T. and 3 p.m. ET. The recent catastrophe in the reporting of the Iowa caucus results means that Nevada officials will be cautious to avoid a similar meltdown, meaning we may not have final results for some time.
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Nevada Democratic caucus live results Nevada will report three things. The first is the results of the first ballot, or alignment:
The second is the final ballot results, where the votes for non-viable candidates will be shifted to their preferred viable candidate.
Third is the county delegate equivalent, which will be converted into national pledged delegates.
These will update live over the course of the day as we get new results. Read more about how Democrats will elect their presidential nominee over the next several months Catch up on live coverage from the caucuses: Pre-caucus:
Joe Biden's support among black voters is eroding days ahead of make-or-break primaries Elizabeth Warren bought a full-page ad in a GOP billionaire's newspaper so she could taunt him about the $2.3 billion he'd pay under year one of her wealth tax Elizabeth Warren shredded rivals in Nevada. Here's why it was a critical time go on offense. Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg clashed more than ever in the Vegas debate. These numbers show why. The Nevada caucuses are the first since the disaster in Iowa. Here's how it will work.
What's at stake in the Nevada caucuses: Nevada only accounts for 36, or 0.9% of the delegates allocated throughout the nomination process, but holds disproportionate importance by virtue of being the first state with a significant non-white population to express its voting preferences. The first two states in the process, Iowa and New Hampshire, are both over 93% white. In Nevada, however, just 49% of the population is non-Hispanic white, compared to 29% that is Hispanic or Latino of any race, 10% that is African-American, and 9% that is Asian. Of Nevada's 36 national pledged delegates:
23 are allocated proportionally between the state's four congressional districts. The first district gets five delegates, and the three others are allocated six delegates each. 8 at-large and 5 PLEO (party leader and elected official) delegates will be decided and allocated based on the statewide popular vote.
Like in most other states, candidates must break 15% of the vote in a given district or voting area to win any delegates at all. Unlike a regular primary, Nevada is a caucus, meaning that people will gather in communal locations to express their preferences for president. The caucuses have two rounds of preference expression, or alignments, meaning caucusgoers have an opportunity to shift their support. Caucusgoers whose first-choice candidate does not meet the 15% viability threshold in the first alignment can either switch their support to a candidate who is viable, try to make their chosen candidate viable on the second round, or be uncommitted, meaning the final results could be unpredictable. DELEGATE COUNT: Here's who's winning the race for the 2020 Democratic nomination The results of Saturday's Democratic primary are likely to be particularly crucial for Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former Vice President Joe Biden, both of whom are hoping for a strong comeback after their fourth- and fifth-place finishes in New Hampshire. Who does the polling say is ahead? The state of Nevada and its presidential caucuses, in particular, are notoriously difficult and expensive to accurately poll. As Vox recently reported, a higher-than-average proportion of the electorate in Nevada works in the casino and nightlife industry, meaning that their population has higher turnover and is more fluid than in most states, giving pollsters a small base of registered or likely voters to work with. And many of those with jobs on the Vegas Strip or in other nightlife or hospitality-related careers work night shifts or outside the bounds of a typical nine-to-five schedule, making them much harder to reach by telephone. On top of that, Nevada only started using presidential caucuses instead of primaries in 2008, meaning that pollsters have somewhat limited data with which to build accurate models and weights for their caucus surveys, a problem compounded by the fluctuating population in Nevada. According to FiveThirty's aggregated tracker of Nevada polls, Sanders currently holds a comfortable lead, polling at 30% on average with the other candidates mostly far behind. On the day of the caucuses, Buttigieg is at 15.3%, Biden is at 14.4%, Warren is at 12%, Steyer at 10.2%, and Klobuchar is at 9%. But the additional unpredictability of caucus turnout, the ranked-choice system used in early voting, and the re-alignment process in the caucuses themselves mean that the final result could be quite different from what initial polls indicate. While Nevada was once a battleground state, it's been swinging into solid Democratic territory for the past several election cycles. Former Democratic nominees President Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton comfortably carried the state in the 2008, 2012, and 2016 general elections, and five out the state's six congressional representatives are now Democrats. In 2016, former Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton won the Nevada caucuses with 52.6% of the vote compared to 47.3% for Sen. Bernie Sanders. Read more: Bernie Sanders suggests Russia might be behind the 'ugly' online attacks from 'Bernie Bros' US officials told Bernie Sanders Russia is trying to help him win the Democratic nomination Watch the top 5 moments of Nevada's combative Democratic debate Here's who will be onstage for the February 25 Democratic presidential debate in South Carolina and how to watch itSEE ALSO: All of the important primary, convention, and debate dates you need to know for the 2020 presidential election Join the conversation about this story » NOW WATCH: A law professor weighs in on how Trump could beat impeachment
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The Democratic nomination process continues today with the South Carolina Democratic primary on February 29. The...The Democratic nomination process continues today with the South Carolina Democratic primary on February 29. The Democratic nomination isn't decided by who wins the most votes, but by which candidates receive the most delegates to represent their campaign. The number of delegates each state gets is decided by a number of factors including how big the state is, how Democratic they lean, when they vote, and if they vote with their neighbors. At the convention, a candidate will be nominated when a simple majority of 1,991 out of 3,979 total pledged delegates support a given candidate. Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories. The Democratic nomination process continues today with the South Carolina Democratic primary on February 29 — see live updates here. Between February and June 2020, all 50 US states and seven US territories will hold a Democratic primary election or caucus to allocate delegates to the candidates, which began with the Iowa caucuses on February 3. The Democratic nomination isn't decided by who wins the most votes, but by which candidates receive the most delegates — people selected by each campaign from every state or district — to represent them at the Democratic National Convention, taking place July 13-16 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Here's where the candidates stand right now: So far, only Iowa, which holds 41 delegates, New Hampshire, which holds 24, and Nevada, which holds 36, have allocated all of their projected pledged delegates to the convention. Decision Desk HQ in partnership with the University of Virginia Center for Politics further estimates that Biden will pick up at least 16 of South Carolina's 54 pledged delegates based on the results of the state's primary so far, which Biden is projected to win. The DNC has four states who vote early in every election cycle: Iowa on February 3, New Hampshire on February 11, Nevada on February 22, and South Carolina on February 29. While these primaries hold disproportionate importance in the process by going first, they only account for 4% of the total pledged delegates. Democrats allocate most of their pledged delegates proportionally by legislative district, in addition to allocating at-large and PLEO (party leader and elected official) delegates based on the statewide vote breakdown. Most states allocate their delegates by congressional districts, but some, like Texas and New Jersey, use state legislative districts instead. While delegates are allocated proportionally, in nearly every state the minimum threshold to earn delegates is 15% of the vote. This means candidates must break 15% of the vote either at the district or state level to earn any delegates at all. Every state has a certain number of delegates to allocate, which is determined by a number of factors including how big the state is, how Democratic they lean, when they vote, and if they vote with their neighbors. At the convention, a candidate will be nominated when a simple majority of 1,991 out of 3,979 total pledged delegates support a given candidate. Fifteen states, the territory of American Samoa, and Democrats who live abroad are holding Democratic primaries or caucuses on Super Tuesday, which takes place on March 3, allocating 35% of the total delegates on that date alone. After Super Tuesday, primary dates get tactical, since states receive a delegate bonus for scheduling their primaries later in the cycle and holding their primaries on the same day as neighboring states. In general, states want to balance their role in narrowing the size of the field with having the final say on who wins by having the most possible delegates at the convention. Some states — the ones on Super Tuesday — are willing to leave all the extra delegates on the table in order to get the first bite at the apple. Other states will wait until the last possible vote — smaller states like New Jersey and New Mexico — to gain outsized representation at the convention and potentially a shot at playing kingmaker. Sixty percent of delegates will be decided after the March 17 primaries, and after the April 28 "Acela primaries," 90% of the total delegates to the convention will have been allocated, meaning we'll have a pretty good idea of who is favored to win the nomination by that point. Read more: LIVE UPDATES: Watch the results for today's South Carolina primaries Bernie Sanders' promise to turn out young voters is a double-edged sword Here's how Democrats will elect their presidential nominee over the next several months Here are the last days you can register to vote for the 2020 primary elections in every state and how to do itSEE ALSO: All of the important primary, convention, and debate dates you need to know for the 2020 presidential election Join the conversation about this story » NOW WATCH: Extremists turned a frog meme into a hate symbol, but Hong Kong protesters revived it as an emblem of hope
Bill de Blasio tells Pete Buttigieg to 'show some humility' after he got his 'ass kicked' in Nevada and said he doesn't have diverse supporters
New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio lashed out at his former Democratic rival, South Bend,...New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio lashed out at his former Democratic rival, South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, on following Bernie Sanders' Nevada primary win. "Try to not be so smug when you just got your ass kicked," de Blasio tweeted at Buttigieg, who finished third in the state. De Blasio earlier in February endorsed Sanders' bid for the Oval Office. Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories. New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio didn't have anything kind to say about former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg on Saturday night, sending a series of tweets in defense of his endorsed candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders who cemented his frontrunner status after winning in Nevada's Democratic caucuses. Following his third-place finish behind Sanders and Biden in the Nevada race, the third major contest of the 2020 election, Buttigieg condemned the Vermont senator and his supporters. "I believe that we can bring an end to corporate recklessness and bring balance to our economy by empowering workers, raising wages, and insisting that those who gain the most must contribute the most in order to keep the American Dream going forward," Buttigieg said. "But that is different from Sen. Sanders' vision of capitalism as the root of all evil, that would go beyond reform and reorder the economy in ways most Democrats — not to mention most Americans — don't support." The New York City mayor De Blasio, who dropped his "longshot" presidential bid last September and earlier in February announced his endorsement for Sanders' White House bid, said that Buttigieg didn't "understand the moment" Sanders "has built," adding it "reflects the true values" and "hope of working people in America." "They simply want a country that puts working people first," de Blasio added. "Your critique tonight speaks for the American elite, not the majority." As Vox noted, entrance polls conducted at Saturday's Nevada caucus indicated that both Buttigieg and Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar performed poorly among the state's Black population, which make up 11% of the caucus-goers in the state. De Blasio pointed to Buttigieg's low support among racial minorities, directing the 38-year-old president hopeful to "show some humility." "And hey @PeteButtigieg, try to not be so smug when you just got your ass kicked," de Blasio tweeted Saturday night. "You know how we form a winning coalition to beat Trump? With a true multi-racial coalition of working Americans: something @BernieSanders has proven he can do + you haven't." The Buttigieg campaign has not returned a Business Insider request for comment. .@PeteButtigieg, you clearly don’t understand the movement @BernieSanders has built. It reflects the true values + hope of working people in America. They simply want a country that puts working people first. Your critique tonight speaks for the American elite, not the majority — Bill de Blasio (@BilldeBlasio) February 23, 2020 Saturday's results among Black Americans in Nevada could spell trouble in future states Buttigieg, who has continued to struggle to gain traction with black voters, ended up receiving about 2% of the African American vote in Nevada, Vox reported. Klobuchar received about 3%, according to the report. As the primary leaves Nevada, where a Latino support helped Sanders win big, and heads to South Carolina where the black electorate make up a key voting bloc, trailing candidates are ramping up support among African Americans who make up about 27% of the population in the state, according to US Census data. A recent Winthrop University poll of South Carolina voters found that Buttigieg had just about 1% of support among African Americans there. Former Vice President Joe Biden, who's staked his campaign on support from diverse states and black voters, had the majority of American American support – 31%, according to the poll, which had a margin-of-error of 5.9 percent. Sanders had 17% of support in that poll among African American voters. South Carolina Rep. James Clyburn said Sunday on ABC's "This Week" that his state's electorate might not support someone who calls himself a socialist, referring to Sanders, a democratic socialist. "I do believe it will be an extra burden for us to have to carry," Clyburn said. "This is South Carolina, and South Carolinians are pretty leery about that title socialist." De Blasio had dismissed similar criticisms of Sanders after Nevada. "Purveyors of Conventional Wisdom are telling us tonight that @BernieSanders can't be elected President because he's different," de Blasio said in a final tweet Saturday night. "Just like they said about Donald Trump. Just like they said about Barack Obama. The truth: you CAN'T be elected in America today UNLESS you're different." Read more: National security adviser rejects report of Russian interference to help Trump get reelected, but believes Russia would help Bernie Sanders Bernie Sanders just cemented his frontrunner status with a huge victory in Nevada. Here's how his Medicare for All plan would remake the $3.6 trillion US healthcare industry. Here's who will be onstage for the February 25 Democratic presidential debate in South Carolina and how to watch it Despite previous attacks, Medicare for All proved to be a huge winner for Bernie Sanders for the third primary in a row, polls show Join the conversation about this story » NOW WATCH: Extremists turned a frog meme into a hate symbol, but Hong Kong protesters revived it as an emblem of hope
Saturday’s vote could be a make-or-break moment for candidates in the first state with a diverse...Saturday’s vote could be a make-or-break moment for candidates in the first state with a diverse electorate Bernie Sanders has invested big in Nevada. Will it pay off?Health, heat and deportations: the issues voters care about 8.26pm GMT Some more tidbits from the NBC entrance poll show Sanders’ extraordinary support among younger voters. More from Nevada entrance poll (early vote wave)Over 45 years oldBiden 20%Sanders 20%Buttigieg 16%Klobuchar 15%Warren 13%Steyer 11%45 and underSanders 60%Buttigieg 13%Warren 11%Biden 5%Klobuchar 3%From the entrance poll, among the 34% of NV Dem caucus participants who call themselves moderate or conservative:Sanders 23%Biden 22%Buttigieg 20%Klobuchar 14%Steyer 10% 8.20pm GMT Bernie Sanders has a strong lead among early voters, according to an NBC News “entrance poll”. The poll shows Sanders’ particular strength among Latino voters, where he polled majority support despite the broad field. Nevada is the most diverse state to participate in the primary process so far. Neither Iowa nor New Hampshire are particularly representative of the overall electorate, or the Democratic party base. This is an entrance poll based on 2,122 interviews, almost all of which are from early voters. Continue reading...