LIVE: The Iowa caucus results are indefinitely delayed amid widespread chaos and breakdowns in the reporting process
Iowa voters are officially kicked off the 2020 Democratic primary races with Monday's caucuses. Iowa is a relatively small state that allocates just 1% of the delegates candidates earn on their way to the nomination. Still, it holds disproportionate significance in the process as it's the first state to cast its ballots.
How the caucuses work, in one chart: This flowchart shows how tonight's Iowa caucuses will unfold step-by-step across the state
The eventual Democratic nominee won the Iowa caucuses in six out of the past eight competitive Democratic presidential primaries. As of early Tuesday, the Iowa Democratic Party has reported data for 0% of precincts while the party preforms "quality checks" on the existing precinct data, significantly delaying the release of results.
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Iowa, the first state to hold an election in the Democratic primary, casts its ballots tonight. Iowans began to gather at a local space in their election precinct starting at 7 p.m. Central time, but due to significant problems and irregularities with the reporting system, the night ended without any results or winner declared. This is a complex, collaborative process, and you can read more about it below, as it's unlike any election most Americans have taken a part in. Here's a top to bottom look at how the caucuses work: Everything you need to know about the Iowa caucuses, and why they may be less important than ever in 2020 When the party releases results, Insider will be getting the live results instantly as soon as they stream in. Until then, see more of the ongoing coverage of the caucus below. Iowa Democratic caucuses live updated results There will be two sets of published data about the results of the caucus. As of 11 p.m. CT and 12 p.m. ET, however, the Iowa Democratic Party has released results from 0% of precincts while the party preforms "quality checks" on the data, severely delaying the timing of the results. Multiple precinct captains recounted not being able to use a new app designated to report precinct-level results and facing hour-long waits to call in the results to the state party, which reportedly convened an emergency conference call with campaigns. The party clarified in a statement a little after 10:30 p.m. CT that the delay was due to "inconsistencies in the reporting of three sets of results," not any kind of "hack or intrusion" into the app itself. Eventually, the party will release data from the first ballot. This is the expressed first preference of Iowans, information that will be crucial in understanding how Iowans see the overall race.
The second is the final ballot with state equivalent delegates. This is what actually matters in the end: As we explain below, caucus-goers will get a chance to maximize their impact by only caucusing for viable candidates, meaning these results will determine the actual winner:
The delegate stakes for tonight Iowa holds a low share of delegates compared to states that vote later in the Democratic primary process. Iowa has just 41 pledged delegates, which is only 1% of the total number that will be allocated throughout four months of Democratic primaries. Because Iowa precinct holds not one but two rounds of preference expression, or alignments, caucusgoers' second choices are more important than ever before. Read more: This flowchart shows how tonight's Iowa caucuses will unfold step-by-step across the state If a caucusgoer's first-choice candidate doesn't break 15% of the vote on the first alignment, they can either switch their preference to a candidate who is viable in their precinct, be an uncommitted caucusgoer, or try to combine forces with other caucusgoers to make their first-choice candidate viable. A caucusgoer whose first-choice is viable after the first alignment cannot, however, change their preference, meaning candidates can only gain and not lose votes in the second alignment. Twenty-seven out of Iowa's 41 pledged delegates are allocated proportionally at the congressional district level:
In the first congressional district, 7 delegates In the second congressional district, 7 delegates In the third congressional district, 8 delegates In the fourth congressional district, 5 delegates
A candidate must break 15% of the vote in a given district to win any delegates from that district at all. There are also five pledged delegates statewide for party leaders and elected officials, and nine at-large delegates. Those are allocated based on the statewide popular vote, meaning its possible for candidates to win district-level delegates but not statewide delegates. Read more: The Iowa caucus has unusual rules that mean the candidate with the most votes won't necessarily win the most delegates State congressional delegations, DNC leadership and governors get a free ticket to the convention as automatic delegates, and Iowa has eight such people. Once powerful "superdelegates," this group has had those powers largely stripped and they no longer factor into the delegate math. Polling expectations Since 1972, Iowa caucusgoers have taken their role in determining which candidates are viable very seriously. An old saying posits that there are only three ways out of Iowa: coming in first, second, or third place. While Sanders holds the narrowest of leads over the rest of the field in Iowa, most recent polls of the state show the leading four candidates — Joe Biden, Sanders, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and former Mayor Pete Buttigieg — bunched closely together with no clearly favored winner. On the day of the caucuses, Real Clear Politics' aggregated tracker of Iowa polls showed Sanders with 23% support on average compared to 19.3% for Biden, 16.8% for Buttigieg, 15.5% for Warren, 9% for Sen. Amy Klobuchar, 3.3% for Andrew Yang, and 3% for Tom Steyer. Because those four candidates have consistently polled in double digits at or near the delegate threshold, there may not be an obvious winner or leader on caucus night. Ongoing live coverage of the Iowa caucuses: The Iowa Democratic Party holds off releasing results to perform quality checks: The Iowa caucus results are being delayed due to 'quality control' issues This year has seen some unique strategic differences about the caucus: Presidential candidates have historically gone all-in on the Iowa caucus — but here's why that's starting to change Get up to speed on what these delegates actually mean: Here's how Democrats will elect their presidential nominee over the next several monthsSEE ALSO: Here's how Democrats will elect their presidential nominee over the next several months Join the conversation about this story » NOW WATCH: Extremists turned a frog meme into a hate symbol, but Hong Kong protesters revived it as an emblem of hope
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The Iowa Democratic party held satellite caucuses across the nation and world Monday in a bid...The Iowa Democratic party held satellite caucuses across the nation and world Monday in a bid to make the voting process more accessible for Iowans who are temporarily living in other places. One of the biggest satellites outside Iowa was in Palm Springs, California.